Upper Nile · 9.53°N, 31.66°E
Malakal
Confluence of Sobat and White Nile.
Warning
60
Composite hazard
Population
145k
IDPs
47k
Flood risk
89
Drought risk
12
Food insecurity
80
Rainfall — last 30 days
Active alerts
CriticalFlood
CRITICAL: Riverine flooding expected in Malakal — Nile system rising
Activate evacuation; preposition NFIs, water purification, and SAR boats. Open elevated shelters.
92%
CriticalFood Insecurity
CRITICAL: IPC Phase 4 conditions deepening in Malakal
Scale up GFD and BSFP; activate anticipatory cash; convene IPC technical working group.
74%
CriticalCholera Risk
CRITICAL: AWD/cholera transmission risk elevated in Malakal
Pre-position ORS and IV fluids; chlorinate water points; deploy RRTs and rapid testing.
85%
WatchDisplacement
WATCH: Population movement escalating from Malakal
Activate site planning; coordinate with CCCM cluster; pre-position shelter and protection capacity.
79%
AI 7-day forecast
Monthly & seasonal outlook
October 2026 (current)
Rainfall 168mm · anomaly +18%
Conf 78%
November 2026 (next)
Rainfall 158mm · anomaly +13%
Conf 70%
Harvest Transition (current)
Conf 72%
Rainfall: Below normal· Flood: SafeDrought: Safe
Dry Season
Conf 62%
Rainfall: Normal· Flood: SafeDrought: Safe