Warrap · 8.60°N, 28.10°E
Gogrial East
Gogrial East county in Warrap. Profile derived from state-level climate and humanitarian baselines.
Watch
58
Composite hazard
Population
142k
IDPs
11k
Flood risk
75
Drought risk
32
Food insecurity
67
Rainfall — last 30 days
Active alerts
WarningFlood
WARNING: Riverine flooding expected in Gogrial East — Nile system rising
Reinforce dykes; pre-position emergency stocks; alert riverine villages via SMS and radio.
86%
WarningCholera Risk
WARNING: AWD/cholera transmission risk elevated in Gogrial East
Pre-position ORS and IV fluids; chlorinate water points; deploy RRTs and rapid testing.
90%
AI 7-day forecast
Monthly & seasonal outlook
October 2026 (current)
Rainfall 137mm · anomaly +7%
Conf 78%
November 2026 (next)
Rainfall 135mm · anomaly +7%
Conf 70%
Harvest Transition (current)
Conf 72%
Rainfall: Below normal· Flood: SafeDrought: Watch
Dry Season
Conf 62%
Rainfall: Normal· Flood: SafeDrought: Watch